Un article écrit par Marie de Lattre-Gasuqet et Sébastien Treyer dans le Volume 47, N°4 (septembre 2016) de l'IDS Bulletin-Transforming Development Knowledge.
Résumé [en anglais] :
"Marie de Lattre-Gasquet and Sébastien Treyer [...] compare and contrast the Agrimonde and Agrimonde-Terra foresight studies undertaken by the French Agricultural Research Centre for International Development (CIRAD) and the National Institute for Agricultural Research (INRA). Focused on food security and land use respectively, these studies were relatively long term and well resourced, and in these respects they reflected some well-established approaches to public sector foresight. Three key lessons emerge from the comparison. First, the design of foresight processes and the selection of methods depend on the objectives and desired changes. Second, foresight exercises take place on a sea of expectations, which can lead to both creativity but also to vulnerability, and which must certainly be managed. Finally, much more attention must be devoted to understanding the strategies of different actors, and the power relations amongst actors."
