Un article (policy brief) écrit par Bernard Hubert, Jacques Brossier, Patrick Caron, Pierre Fabre, Hartwig de Haen, Benoît Labbouz, Michel Petit et Sébastien Treyer, paru dans le n°6 (septembre 2010) de la collection Perspective des publications du Cirad.
Les auteurs évoquent les différents scénarios à long terme pour subvenir aux besoins en alimentation de quelque 9 milliards d'hommes à l'horizon 2050, et décrivent le fonctionnement et la pertinence des processus d'évaluation des ces hypothèses scientifiques pour l'avenir.
Introduction [en anglais] :
"How can agriculture produce food for 9 billion inhabitants in 2050 and achieve the Millennium Development Goals of alleviating poverty, reducing hunger and protecting the environment? [...] Various studies have been conducted to assess scenarios for the long-term future of food and agriculture in the world. Each one has its own objectives, methodologies, and results. Analyzing, comparing and discussing hypotheses, methodologies and results were the objectives of the FI4IAR/CTA seminar “Thinking Forward: assessments, projections and foresights”, organized during the GCARD 2010 process. This dialogue, which sometimes led to scientific disputes, proved productive and encouraging. Is it a forum that should be continued in the future?"
>> Consulter la publication [depuis le site du Cirad]
